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Winning the Lottery - Not Bloody Likely

Winning the Lottery

Lottery Number Advisor

Yesterday with, Winning Lotto Strategies - Grab Your Fishin’ Rod,  we completed our side trip into the world of Balanced Wager Analysis. Hopefully, everyone is now comfortable with the concept discussed in Winning Lotto Strategies - Taking Out the Trash. So, today we’re back on track, looking for ways to increase our Lottery Footprint (LFP) even further.

The next tool we will use is called Likely Wager™ Analysis. It also classifies wagers by assigning each one a score between 1 and 100. Plotting the scores from all possible wagers creates a graph similar to the Balanced Wager Analysis bell shaped curve. But, before we go any further, I better lay some ground work.

LIkely Wager™ Analysis Background: When developing Balanced Wager Analysis, I knew that wagers like 1-2-3-4-5-6 with low sums and wagers like 49-50-51-52-53-54 with high sums, represented classes of wagers that had very low probability of every winning the lottery jackpot. I also knew that wagers that were bunched tightly together, like 26-27-28-29-30-31, were not bloody likely to win either. But, they were balanced wagers and, therefore, were not removed from play by using Balanced Wager Analysis.

I wanted to remove those wagers from play too, but couldn’t. In order to use a computer to remove wagers of this type from play, I needed a mathematical formula that would identify such wagers. It took years of trial and error before I created a formula that did the trick. I call the process Likely Wager™ Analysis because it identifies wagers that are Likely to be the jackpot winner.

Discovering something brand new, that nobody else has ever known, is quite exhilarating. I was quite proud of my accomplishment. But, I must admit, that what I discovered next came right out of the blue. I wasn’t looking for it and I didn’t see it coming. My new Likely Wager™ formula also did something unexpected. Along with creating low scores for wagers that were tightly clustered, it also created high scores for wagers that were widely spread out. But, that wasn’t what surprised me.  The surprise came when I realized that wagers in which the numbers are spread out are also not very likely to win the lottery.  For example, wagers like 1-11-22-33-44-54 are just as unlikely to win the lottery jackpot as 1-2-3-4-5-6.  This was new knowledge.  This was a totally new discovery.

To date, no one has discovered my formula and the Lottery Number Advisor is the only Lottery Software product on the market that has powerful Lottery Tools like this. Tomorrow I’ll unveil Likely Wager™ Analysis for you and show you how it works.

Do you have your own ways of increasing your LFP?  Lets add them to the discussion.

Lottery Strategies - Grab Your Fishin’ Rod

Lottery Strategies

Lottery Number Advisor

In the last post, Winning Lotto Strategies - Come Over from the Dark Side, we learned that wagers with low or high sums should be avoided because most Lottery Jackpots are won by wagers that are balanced. Balanced wagers are wagers that are spread out and not clustered near the low or the high end.

If you remember we were play the Lotto Texas 6/54 lottery using a 40 number play list. There are 3,838,380 possible wagers that can be generated using this 40 number list. Let’s plot a graph of the sums (Balanced Wager Scores) for all 3,838,380 wagers. Of course, I could have done this by hand using my calculator, but I figured you wanted to see this post before you died.  So, instead, I used LONA™, the Lottery Number Advisor.

Lottery Strategies

The low to high sums are scaled into the 0 to 100 range. You can’t help but notice that the graph takes the form of the classical bell shaped curve. This points out graphically what I said in the last post.

The vast majority of lottery drawings are balanced wagers; neither tilting to far to one side or the other. So, spending your money on a wager near the minimum or maximum is probably not a very effective use of your lottery budget.

In fact, 90% of all possible wagers fall between 30 and 70; the blue area in the middle. Therefore, an effective Lottery Strategy would be to spend your lottery budget on wagers that fall between 30 and 70. This accomplishes two things:

  1. You don’t waste your money on wagers that have a low probability of winning; the red area.
  2. Your lottery dollars are concentrated in the area where they are more likely to do some good.

Here it is in terms that anyone can understand. There are two lakes.  One has 90% of all the fish in it and the other lake has only 10% of the fish.  So, if you’re going fishin’, which lake are you going to drop your line in?

This next graph is for the skeptics that think this is a fish story. On the right is a Histogram that shows the historical evidence that the Lotto Texas 6/54 lottery itself, follows the same bell shaped curve. In the last 258 drawings of the lottery, very few winning jackpot numbers fall below 30 or above 70.

Lottery Strategies

If you think that this is just an oddity found in the TX654 lottery, think again.  This is true for ALL lotteries. We have 73 US and Canadian lotteries in our data base and the graphs from each of those lotteries simply reemphasizes the importance of the Balanced Wager Strategy.

I don’t know about you, but it’s a beautiful Sunday morning, so, me and some skeptics are going fishing.

How do you like the graphs?  Got some ideas on how you would use them? Let me know and we’ll discuss it. But, you’ll have to excuse me now.  I’ve got some fish to clean.